-- London Stock Exchange Group PLC (LSEG) said it has reached an
agreement to acquire a majority stake in U.K.-based holding company
LCH.Clearnet Group Ltd, subject to shareholder, regulatory, and antitrust
approvals.
-- We are placing our 'A-' long-term rating on LSEG on CreditWatch with
negative implications.
-- The CreditWatch placement reflects our view that LSEG's financial
profile will deteriorate if the transaction goes through because of increased
debt.
-- We expect to resolve the CreditWatch when the transaction closes or
falls through by affirming the rating on LSEG or lowering it by one notch.
Rating Action
On March 13, 2012, Standard & Poor's Ratings Services placed its 'A-'
long-term counterparty credit rating on London Stock Exchange Group PLC
(LSEG) on CreditWatch with negative implications. We affirmed the 'A-2'
short-term rating.
Rationale
The CreditWatch placement follows LSEG's announcement on March 9, 2012, that
it has agreed to acquire a majority stake of up to 60% of U.K.-based holding
company LCH.Clearnet Group Ltd (LCHC). LSEG would pay a maximum EUR463 million
for a 60 % stake, in cash, and would partly finance the transaction by issuing
additional debt, drawing on its new committed revolving credit lines.
The CreditWatch placement reflects our view that LSEG's financial profile
would deteriorate if the transaction went through, given the additional debt
required to finance the acquisition.
In our view, the merger would strengthen LSEG's business position by expanding
its product offering in post trade services and its geographic footprint in
continental Europe, excluding Italy, and the U.S. LSEG would become the world
leader in clearing over-the-counter (OTC) interest rate swap contracts,
through LCHC's SwapClear unit, which we believe could grow further because of
recent regulatory changes making central clearing of some OTC derivatives
mandatory.
However, our preliminary figures show that LSEG's leverage metrics would
deteriorate in the short term if the transaction went through. Pro forma gross
debt leverage would rise to 2.3x from an estimated 1.9x for LSEG. Pro forma
EBITDA interest coverage would fall to 9.2x at March 2013 and tangible total
equity would also depreciate significantly, nearing negative GBP1 billion.
In the longer run, the restoration of leverage metrics for LSEG that we would
view as consistent with a rating in the 'A' category would depend on LCHC's
capacity to sufficiently grow revenues from OTC clearing and interoperability
and implement efficiency measures it has promised. Without these changes LSEG
would not be able to offset the adverse impact of the upcoming termination of
NYSE Euronext's (A+/Stable/A-1) clearing contracts on LCHC's business.
We see LSEG's statement of intention to maintain a net debt target leverage of
1x-2x as positive, as this is a level that would be more consistent with our
current rating.
CreditWatch
We expect to resolve the CreditWatch upon completion of the merger, probably
around the end of 2012. The deal is unlikely to close sooner because of the
many regulatory and antitrust approvals both entities must obtain, mostly in
Europe. If the deal goes through, we might affirm the rating on LSEG or lower
it by one notch. If the deal falls through, we would most likely affirm the
rating on LSEG.
Related Criteria And Research
-- Standard & Poor's Updated Methodology For Rating Exchanges and
Clearinghouses, July 10, 2006
Ratings List
Ratings Affirmed; CreditWatch/Outlook Action
To From
London Stock Exchange Group PLC
Counterparty Credit Rating A-/Watch Neg/A-2 A-/Negative/A-2
London Stock Exchange Group PLC
Senior Unsecured A-/Watch Neg A-
Complete ratings information is available to subscribers of RatingsDirect on
the Global Credit Portal at www.globalcreditportal.com. All ratings affected
by this rating action can be found on Standard & Poor's public Web site at
www.standardandpoors.com. Use the Ratings search box located in the left
column.
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Tuesday, 13 March 2012
TEXT-S&P puts London Stock Exchange 'A-' rating on watch negative
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